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Tomorrow has the potential to become severe day for many parts of Europe!
With a Low Pressure system situated above NE Italy tomorrow afternoon, an upper trough forms down the Eastern Italian coast as the day progresses.
The potential is there and we could see wide spread severe storms erupt mid afternoon with the risk of frequent lightning, heavy rain and or hail, strong SL winds a and potentially a Tornado!
With strong potent Updrafts and DLS (Deep Layer Shear) values at 30-50kts and Bulk Sheer Values at 30kts there could be some very strong rotating updrafts able to drop moderate sized hail! Tornado threat being issued for SRH 0-3km values 150m2s2 and 0-1km Shear values at 30kts.
Marginal has been issued for Central European countries for the potential for severe storms and Excessive precipitation in some areas. 3 Upper troughs form within the Central, North Eastern European regions!
Storms that develop will have the potential to produce strong SL winds, heavy rain and/or hail. Tornado threat has been issued for a small portion of West Russia, Serbia and Ukraine with SRH values ranging from 150-200+ m2s2 and 0-1km shear vales ranging from 15-20kts!
Sean O’Hare Senior Meteorologist UK